Killing Capriles

“A few days ago I received some information that they want to make an attempt against the governor of Miranda, and it’s not the Government,” President Hugo Chavez announced during a telephone call to “Dando y Dando,” a staunchly pro-regime program broadcast by state-owned VTV television.

Law enforcement and national security officials of the CICPC and Sebin intelligence service already “have met with the campaign command of the candidate of the right, because the State must be the guarantor of the security of every citizen,” Chavez said.

“…(h)ere the government is the first guarantor of security and tranquility of all Venezuelans, it is very regrettable that the dirty war laboratory, like the opposition, is launching this media campaign (that the regime is provoking all the recent political violence),” the cancer-ridden Chavez added.

It’s not the first time that President Chavez has publicly announced an alleged assassination plot against an opposition presidential candidate. During the 2006 presidential campaign, Chavez declared, without ever supplying even a shred of proof, that his security services had discovered and stopped a plan to murder Manuel Rosales, the former Zulia governor now in exile.

What is Chavez up to? The president likely has several objectives in mind.

1.Chavez is attempting to intimidate and frighten presidential candidate and Miranda Governor Henrique Capriles Radonski, perhaps to discourage the young governor from walking boldly into the “barrios” of Caracas and every other city and town in Venezuela.

2.Chavez is establishing the foundations of plausible deniability. Notice how quickly the regime’s mouthpieces started to parrot Chavez’s theme of “it won’t be our fault if the opposition kills Capriles.” Within an hour of the president’s call to “Dando y Dando,” a presidential adviser on Arab issues who speaks Spanish with an odd accent, and a National Assembly Deputy who associates with illegal armed groups like La Piedrita, gave televised inteviews in which they declared, basically, that the Chavez regime is never violent, that all of the political violence denounced by the opposition MUD in reality is manufactured by the opposition right-wing fascists, and that if anyone kills Capriles it certainly won’t be the peace-loving, law-abiding Bolivarian revolution.

Here’s alleged “internationalist” Raimundo Kabchi, who reportedly is the president’s senior adviser on policy issues related to the Arab/Muslim peoples:

And here’s National Assembly Deputy Robert Serra, who recently was photographed alongside children armed with assault rifles at a political rally in 23 de Enero organized and hosted by La Piedrita chieftain Valentin Santana:

Chavez and his gangster associates need to have plausible deniability solidly in place, because…

3.Chavez’s public warning of an alleged plot to assassinate opposition presidential candidate signals that he has authorized the killing of Capriles Radonski if that’s what it takes to preserve the imploding and increasingly desperate Bolivarian regime’s hold on power.

Capriles Radonski, and his senior campaign managers including his security people presumably know, and have no doubts, about the huge risk that Capriles could be assassinated at any time. Also presumably, Capriles Radonski is getting the security he needs from professionals. But if someone really wants to whack Capriles, it can easily happen anytime, anywhere, regardless of how many security personnel surround him.

Capriles Radonski could be killed with a bullet or a bomb, or it could be made to look like an accident.

It could be done by a lone gunman who gets so close to Capriles that he can’t possibly miss his target, or perhaps it could be a sniper who busts a cap in Henrique’s head from a considerable distance.

It could also happen in a sudden outbreak of street chaos created by PSUV gunmen like the ones who fired at Capriles recently in Cotiza with weapons supplied by known PSUV officials.

It’s also possible that an aircraft in which Capriles is a passenger crashes due to a mechanical failure. After all, Venezuela has a horrible reputation for not maintaining anything in good operational condition. Remember Renny Ottolina’s death on the Avila in an airplane crash which to this day has never been clarified satisfactorily?

About Caracas Gringo

Representing less than 0.00000000001515152% of the world population as of 31 December 2011.
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5 Responses to Killing Capriles

  1. GWEH says:

    Capriles’ girlfriend was rear-ended on the autopista the other day? Capriles should start wearing body armor… Carlos the tailor (from Colombia) comes to mind…he makes stuff for Chavez


  2. GWEH says:

    The Capriles assasination theory is valid IMO. The regime thrives on chaos. I don’t see this group of gangsters and thugs (Cubans included) simply turning things over at this late stage in the game.

    Several days ago you posted about the military protecting the candidate and warning the thugs to back off. How does that fit in with this assessment of Chavez whacking the candidate?

    Caracas Gringo reply: I consider it a given that the Army, excluding the narco-generals whose survival in their current positions, and their freedom, depends on Chavez’s survival in power, does not want Capriles harmed. Capriles is a legitimately chosen presidential candidate and the best outcome for Venezuela is for elections to be held. The Army will pressure Chavez as strongly as it can to ensure that Capriles remains healthy and the elections are held on schedule, without any violence. If CApriles is harmed, the Army’s possible response will depend on how the evil deed happens, and how the general public reacts. The military does not want to repeat another Caracazo. It still has not recovered institutionally from the 1989 Caracazo, 23 years ago. The Army has been effective at neutering Bolivarian civilian militia’s development into the type of paramilitary force that Chavez had in mind. But the Army has no control over “social collectives” (i.e. gangs) like La Piedrita, Tupamaros, Alexis Vive, etc. The armed social collectives have the weapons, training, intelligence (supplied by intel types inside the regime), and it appears that some collectives also wish to provoke armed conflict and chaos – particularly if it looks like Chavez is nearing his physical end or likely will lose the elections. If the collectives stir up trouble on a scale that threatens the country’s stability, the Army will intervene, reluctantly but decisively. Reluctantly, because Venezuela’s professional soldiers know that the civilian collateral damage could be very high and also they know that the military’s already rotten reputation will suffer even more in the years ahead as a result, but decisively because the Army cannot allow armed civilian thugs to roam unchecked, inflicting death and destruction at will on the general population…digo yo…


  3. GWEH says:

    Renny’s death was clarified but like many things Venezuelan, continues to be shrouded in mystery. Let me explain, a good friend’s father (Air Force General Bracho) was the guy in charge of investigating aviation disasters and believe me that I grilled him on RO. The pilot was fatigued and hung over. There was a slight deviation that took him into the fog-shrouded mountain. Simple as that. No conspiracy. That story pales in comparison to others….

    Caracas Gringo: Thank you for the clarification.


  4. Ronaldo says:

    It is obvious that Chavez wants to make PSUV appear not culpable for harm done to Capriles. Unfortunately Chavez statements give a green light to all potential assassins in PSUV that they will not be prosecuted. I do not think Chavez will die from cancer. I have said for years that when Fidel Castro dies, Chavez’s Cuban bodyguards will kill Chavez within hours. The question is not whether Chavez will be around for October. The question is whether Fidel will be around in October.


  5. Maria E. says:



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