Students conducted an exit poll on 15 February with professional input from experienced pollsters and data analysts.
Exit data was obtained from 14,850 samples at 175 voting centers nationally, with two cuts:
1:00 p.m. = No 52.0%
5:30 p.m. = No 53.1%
Probability the final vote tally actually was greater than 50% = 99.3%.
But Chavez won by about 10%.