Archive for January 7th, 2013
The Bolivarian bus – without brakes or transmission, with flattened tires and lacking a driver – is plunging into a deep ravine, carrying a Venezuelan people that appear to be infected with a societal death wish.
Some of the passengers apparently think they’ll survive the plunge and continue gorging on freebies and thievery.
Others think that the Bolivarian revolution is immortal – that chavismo without Chavez will somehow prevail.
Still others apparently believe that they can strike deals to insure that they’ll walk away without a scratch from the imminent impact.
Fools, knaves, imbeciles and opportunistic bottom-feeders abound on the Bolivarian bus.
Hugo Chavez is dying, kept alive now only by 24/7 life support in a Havana oncology center, the moment of his death hastened by the incomparably incompetent Cuban physicians that Fidel and Raul Castro reportedly handpicked to treat Chavez’s cancer.
Thank you, Fidel and Raul, for ridding Venezuela of this pestilential plague named Hugo Chavez.…but was it accidental, or deliberate?
What we’re seeing now is a power struggle that pits chavistas against chavistas against more chavistas, like buzzards dancing around a moribund cadaver pecking each other in a feeding frenzy.
On the other side of the divide, the political opposition – aptly called the MUD – is more confused than anyone in this tragicomic drama.
MUD is irrelevant in these times.
The notion that MUD is united is laughable.
Who, and where, are the opposition’s leaders?
Henrique Capriles Radonski, Leopoldo Lopez, Pablo Perez, Maria Corina Machado, Antonio Ledezma, Henry Ramos Allup and all the many other parrots and crows that flock together in the MUD?
Sure, Capriles Radonski officially captured over 40% of the vote in last October’s elections, but he still lost to a dying man who – let’s face it – is worshipped mythically by most of the country’s poor pueblo.
Capriles Radonski also won re-election as governor of Miranda, but certainly not by a landslide. He barely squeaked against a contender – Elias Jaua – that even most chavistas dismiss as a pathetic clown.
However, how many votes would Capriles Radonski likely win in new presidential elections where he confronts a larger field of presidential wannabes including most/all of the above opposition “leaders”?
Would AD and UNT support a new Capriles Radonski presidential candidacy, or try to make backroom deals instead with diverse factions of chavismo?
Reports of secret meetings between various factions of the MUD and the likes of Nicolas Maduro, Diosdado Cabello and Jose Vicente Rangel hint at double- and triple-crosses brewing inside the MUD.
It seems that everyone in the MUD nowadays has a Plan B under way to ensure their personal/political ascendancy – and screw the pueblo.
The State Department has confirmed it has been in contact with Vice President Nicolas Maduro, officially Chavez’s designated heir as “leader of the revolution.”
However, the US government is interested only in the military and civilian drug traffickers inside the dying Chavez regime, including First Brother Adan Chavez and Division General Cliver Alcala.
Venezuela under Chavez has become Latin America’s premier hub for drug trafficking and money laundering, bigger even than Mexico by some accounts.
The US government wants to shut down Venezuela’s drug traffickers, extradite them to the US and lock them up forever and a day.
Beyond that single US policy priority, the US government doesn’t give a damn what else happens in Venezuela, provided that the Consitution of Venezuela is upheld and respected.
It’s up to Venezuelans to deal with Venezuela’s problems, State Department official Roberta Jacobsen said very recently.
However, Maduro, Cabello, Jaua and the other Bolivarian gangsters determined to perpetuate their criminal regime already have announced that they will not abide by the Constitution’s explicit rules of the game.
So it’s very likely that the governments of the US, Canada, Spain and other democratic states will announce on 11 January or very shortly thereafter that they will not recognize the legitimacy of the Bolivarian government.
Venezuela’s government will be an illegitimate outlaw regime as of 12:01 AM on 11 January.
Cabello announced today that a bunch of world leaders will visit Venezuela on 10 January to show their support for the continuation of the Bolivarian government that, per the constitution, ends on 10 January and must be renewed officially with a presidential oath of office administered to President Hugo Chavez.
We’ll know in three days who’s coming to Caracas to praise the dying red Caesar.
Very possibly Evo Morales, Rafael Correa, Cristina Kirchner, and Daniel Ortega will show up. They know that when Chavez kicks the bucket, their days in power also will shorten dramatically after the Bolivarian financial spigot is shut off for good.
Possibly Raul Castro and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad could make appearances in Caracas as well on 10 January, although I wouldn’t bet on it.
Perhaps the Chinese and Russians will send someone important.
But my Russian, Chinese, Brazilian and even Cuban contacts report that their political and business bosses were all growing tired of Hugo Chavez’s worsening craziness in recent years.
It’s likely that not a single “critical world capital” will light a candle for Chavez or hasten to defend the continuation of Venezuela’s illegitimate Bolivarian government after 10 January.
Sure, professional idiots like Oliver Stone and Sean Penn may sputter gobbledygook.
But that’s to be expected, considering Hollywood’s longtime reputation as a haven for multi-millionaire communist jackanapes who collectively are dumber politically than a bowl of soup.
Wealthy armchair revolutionaries are surely a pathetic bunch of losers.
Give me Douglas Bravo any day. He has integrity, even if he is an unrepentant communist.
The political, economic and social situation in Venezuela is untenable.
The coming crash certainly will eclipse every previous crisis that Venezuela has experienced over the past 100 years or so.
Supposing for discussion that Nicolas Maduro manages to stay in the presidency after 10 January while Chavez lingers at death’s door, held back only by machines and an array of tubes to feed him and evacuate his piss and shit.
How will Maduro explain to the Venezuelan people why their economy has plunged into the ravine with the Bolivarian bus?
China won’t come to Maduro’s rescue financially.
Sure, the Chinese have loaned Venezuela about $50 billion since 2008, but that’s spit compared to the roughly $2 trillion to $3 trillion of dollar reserves held by China. More to the point, China’s real financial risk in Venezuela is a paltry $4 billion to $6 billion, according to my banker friends.
China can write off $6 billion without batting an eye.
The Chinese and Russians also are confident that après Chavez, and après the Boligangsters like Maduro and Cabello are out of the way, they can do more productive business with a legitimately elected Venezuelan government that will desperately need every cent it can obtain abroad to ensure that the country doesn’t plunge into a civil conflict as a result of a structural crisis that will take at least two decades to repair.
The chavistas will go for each other’s throats like starved rats trapped inside a barrel in a sinking ship. Count on that.
The MUD will be on the sidelines, making lots of noise but packing little punch.
Don’t expect the Bolivarian armed forces to ride to the rescue either.
A once-in-a-lifetime perfect storm is about to engulf Venezuela, and it could last for weeks and even months.
Batten down the hatches, mates, and ride it out as best you can.